Cascades model

v0_36
Walkthrough parameters & run controls
Private evidence: A Private evidence: B Public vote: A Public vote: B
True stateModel constants
Single community demonstrations & aggregate metrics
Communities (same signals, different τ; sorted high→low)
No-cascade & Incorrect Cascade & Incorrect No-cascade & Correct Cascade & Correct
Event log
L = log-odds; λ = log(q/(1−q))
Parameters & batch controls
Main τ figure
Order parameters over τ
Empirical P(cascade) Empirical P(correct aggregate vote) Predicted phase P(cascade) Predicted phase P(correct aggregate vote) Phase cutoff τ = 1/d
Phase performance
τ phase performance